{"id":126,"date":"2013-10-30T08:55:27","date_gmt":"2013-10-29T21:55:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/?p=126"},"modified":"2013-10-30T08:55:27","modified_gmt":"2013-10-29T21:55:27","slug":"delaying-ageing-vastly-more-impactful-than-targeting-individual-diseases-health-affairs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/?p=126","title":{"rendered":"Delaying ageing vastly more impactful than targeting individual diseases &#8211; Health Affairs"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 itemprop=\"headline\"><span style=\"font-size: 1.5rem; line-height: 1.5;\">Substantial Health And Economic Returns From Delayed Aging May Warrant A New Focus For Medical Research<\/span><\/h1>\n<div>\n<ol id=\"contrib-group-1\">\n<li id=\"contrib-1\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=Dana+P.+Goldman&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">Dana P. Goldman<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-1-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-1\">1<\/a>,<a id=\"xref-corresp-1-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#corresp-1\">*<\/a>,<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-2\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=David+Cutler&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">David Cutler<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-2-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-2\">2<\/a>,<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-3\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=John+W.+Rowe&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">John W. Rowe<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-3-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-3\">3<\/a>,<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-4\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=Pierre-Carl+Michaud&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">Pierre-Carl Michaud<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-4-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-4\">4<\/a>,<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-5\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=Jeffrey+Sullivan&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">Jeffrey Sullivan<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-5-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-5\">5<\/a>,<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-6\" itemprop=\"author\" itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/Person\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=Desi+Peneva&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">Desi Peneva<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-6-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-6\">6<\/a>\u00a0and<\/li>\n<li id=\"contrib-7\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/search?author1=S.+Jay+Olshansky&amp;sortspec=date&amp;submit=Submit\">S. Jay Olshansky<\/a><a id=\"xref-aff-7-1\" href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#aff-7\">7<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li>\n<address><sup>1<\/sup>Dana P. Goldman (<a href=\"mailto:dana.goldman@usc.edu\">dana.goldman@usc.edu<\/a>) is a professor of public policy and pharmaceutical economics and the director of the Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics at the University of Southern California, in Los Angeles.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-2\" name=\"aff-2\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>2<\/sup>David Cutler is a professor of economics at Harvard University, in Cambridge, Massachusetts.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-3\" name=\"aff-3\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>3<\/sup>John W. Rowe is a professor of health policy and management at Columbia University, in New York City.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-4\" name=\"aff-4\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>4<\/sup>Pierre-Carl Michaud is a professor of economics at the University of Quebec, in Montreal.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-5\" name=\"aff-5\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>5<\/sup>Jeffrey Sullivan is director of analytic consulting at Precision Health Economics, in Los Angeles.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-6\" name=\"aff-6\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>6<\/sup>Desi Peneva is a research associate at Precision Health Economics.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<li><a id=\"aff-7\" name=\"aff-7\"><\/a><br \/>\n<address><sup>7<\/sup>S. Jay Olshansky is a professor of epidemiology at the University of Illinois at Chicago.<\/address>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<ol>\n<li id=\"corresp-1\"><a href=\"http:\/\/content.healthaffairs.org\/content\/32\/10\/1698#xref-corresp-1-1\">\u21b5<\/a>*Corresponding author<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"abstract-1\" itemprop=\"description\">\n<h2>Abstract<\/h2>\n<p id=\"p-1\">Recent scientific advances suggest that slowing the aging process (senescence) is now a realistic goal. Yet most medical research remains focused on combating individual diseases. Using the Future Elderly Model\u2014a microsimulation of the future health and spending of older Americans\u2014we compared optimistic \u201cdisease specific\u201d scenarios with a hypothetical \u201cdelayed aging\u201d scenario in terms of the scenarios\u2019 impact on longevity, disability, and major entitlement program costs. Delayed aging could increase life expectancy by an additional 2.2\u00a0years, most of which would be spent in good health. The economic value of delayed aging is estimated to be $7.1\u00a0trillion over fifty years. In contrast, addressing heart disease and cancer separately would yield diminishing improvements in health and longevity by 2060\u2014mainly due to competing risks. Delayed aging would greatly increase entitlement outlays, especially for Social Security. However, these changes could be offset by increasing the Medicare eligibility age and the normal retirement age for Social Security. Overall, greater investment in research to delay aging appears to be a highly efficient way to forestall disease, extend healthy life, and improve public health.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Substantial Health And Economic Returns From Delayed Aging May Warrant A New Focus For Medical Research Dana P. Goldman1,*, David Cutler2, John W. Rowe3, Pierre-Carl Michaud4, Jeffrey Sullivan5, Desi Peneva6\u00a0and S. Jay Olshansky7 1Dana P. Goldman (dana.goldman@usc.edu) is a professor of public policy and pharmaceutical economics and the director of the Schaeffer Center for Health &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/?p=126\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Delaying ageing vastly more impactful than targeting individual diseases &#8211; Health Affairs<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,10,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-healthcare","category-healthy-habits","category-rapid-learning-health-systems"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=126"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":127,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126\/revisions\/127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.panicola.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}