Category Archives: business

Establishing markets in prevention and wellness – 3 examples

1. AIA Vitality Life Insurance

  • https://www.aiavitality.com.au/vmp-au/
  • Wendy Brown – University of Queensland wbrown@hms.uq.edu.au
  • Tracy Kolbe-Alexander – University of Queensland

2. Data Driven Healthcare Quality Markets

3. Abu Dhabi Health Authority – Weqaya

 

 

Vitality Institute Commission – Recommendation 3 http://thevitalityinstitute.org/commission/create-markets-for-health/

7 Emails You Need to Know How to Write

http://unreasonable.is/skills/the-7-emails-you-need-to-know-how-to-write/

The 7 Emails You Need to Know How to Write

Why Give a Damn:

Emails are how we communicate with each other in this day and age. Writing them well can be the difference between successfully building a relationship and not. This post includes example emails for how to get meetings, ask for introductions to investors, say no gracefully, and more!


The author of this post, Teju Ravilochan, is co-founder and CEO of the Unreasonable Institute.

When emailing, we do things that we’d never do in real life.  Tweet This Quote

Emails are strangely awkward. They give us the ability to start a conversation with anyone in the world, without the social cues of an in-person interaction. So we do things that we’d never do in real life via email. Can you imagine walking up to someone at a dinner party, handing them a large document and saying, “Hey Steve, it’s great to meet you! I’ve heard a lot about you and was wondering if you’d give me feedback on my business plan?” And yet, I get emails like this. A lot of people get emails like this.

So this post is dedicated to effectively writing what I believe are seven of the most important relationship-building emails. I’ve assembled articles and examples for each of the emails below and hope this helps you to start the critical relationships you need to produce extraordinary results!

1. How to get busy people to respond to your emails.

Want to get in touch with Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google? Adam Grant, New York Times best-selling author of Give and Take (which is one of my favorite business books of all time, by the way), lays out six key steps for getting important people to respond to your emails in this post. He includes a story of how a Princeton undergrad sent an email that got a response from then-Google CEO Eric Schmidt! This is a great post!

2. How to ask for an introduction.

This post from Scott Britton, whose company SinglePlatform, exited for $100 million, includes analysis of an email requesting an introduction. Critical elements include:

  • An explicit ask
  • A compelling context as to why you’re asking for the intro
  • An example of traction or partnerships that boost credibility
  • Appreciation, and
  • A template email the recipient can forward onto the person you want an introduction to

Another Great Example: Tim Ferriss offers this exceptional example of how someone reached out to him asking for connections to angel investors.

3. How to make an introduction between two people.

LinkedIn Founder Reid Hoffman and two-time author and entrepreneur Ben Casnocha explain that there are three ways to introduce people over email. The very best of the three involves:

  • Checking with both parties to make sure they want the introduction,
  • Making the intro with a short explanation of who each person in the introduction is and why they should connect
  • Clarifying who will take the next step (e.g. who will follow up first)

This might be more work than putting two people’s email addresses in the CC field and saying, “Jason and Brad, consider yourselves connected!” But it is far more effective in ensuring your true outcome: that the two people you are introducing meaningfully connect and build a mutually productive relationship.

4. How to ask for feedback.

Techstars Founder David Cohen receives 50 cold email requests for feedback each day. In the post above, he explains why the featured email brilliantly won his attention and earned thoughtful feedback from him. The core elements include:

  • Knowing the person you’re emailing and showing them that (echoing Adam Grant’s post)
  • Making the request specific and easy to answer for him

Read the post to see how it’s done concretely!

5. How to ask for a meeting.

Scott Britton’s elements of a good meeting request include:

  • Offering value to the recipient,
  • Explaining the context of meeting clearly (ideally including a brief agenda),
  • Asking for a small, discrete amount of time (like 25 minutes),
  • Making it convenient for them (by offering to meet where it might be convenient for them), and
  • Recognizing that they are giving you their time.

Are you noticing some patterns here? A little thoughtfulness goes a long way in getting people to say yes to your requests. Read the post to see an example!

6. How to be politely persistent in getting someone to write you back.

I assume that people I reach out to cold (and even people I get introduced to) won’t respond to my first email. It often takes 2-3 emails to hear back from them. Impact Hub Boulder Co-Founder Greg Berry taught me the best technique I’ve come across for getting responses for folks who haven’t emailed me back. It involves sending them an email about a week later saying,

“[Name], I hope your day is going great! Forgive me for emailing you again, but I just wanted to follow up on the email below and see if you might have any thoughts. Consider this no more than a friendly nudge!”
This “nudge” email has been surprisingly effective, because it acknowledges the recipient is likely busy (and that my email isn’t her first priority), uses the word “friendly” (which is warm and understanding), and is short.
If this follow up email doesn’t work, I write them again maybe two weeks later and say,
“I hope you’ll forgive me for writing you yet another email, but here at the Unreasonable Institute, we believe in persistence to an unreasonable degree. If [opportunity / ask], isn’t up your alley, I completely understand. I simply did not want to miss this chance to [opportunity – like ‘invite you to be a mentor at the Unreasonable Institute’ or ‘connect you to an investment opportunity I think would be perfect for you’].Whether it’s a fit or not, I sincerely appreciate you considering the request.”

The difference between successful people and very successful people is that very successful people say ‘no’ to almost everything.  Tweet This Quote

I’ve written hundreds of these kinds of emails and received only one clearly negative response (which said, “Stop it. You’re annoying me”). Interestingly, that was the one email where I left out the phrase “friendly nudge” and didn’t ask them to “forgive me for emailing again.” But in other cases, I secured a funder for $1 million (which took several emails over the course of 6 months), and the New York Times best-selling author Chip Heath to serve as a mentor at Unreasonable Institute (which took over a fifteen emails over the course of four years).

7. How to say no gracefully.

In the words of Warren Buffet, “The difference between successful people and very successful people is that very successful people say ‘no’ to almost everything.” Odds are that tons of opportunities are flying your way: invitations to speak at conferences, requests for advice, suggestions to open operations in new locations. You might be excited by many of these, but when some come along that you’re not interested in, here are two examples of how to say no.

The first is a humorous example from author E.B. White, which I found in this blog post by Greg McKeown. It reads:

“Dear Mr. Adams,Thanks for your letter inviting me to join the committee of the Arts and Sciences for Eisenhower.

I must decline, for secret reasons.

Sincerely,
E.B. White”

The second example comes from an email I recently sent:

Thanks so much for reaching out, [name]. I appreciate what you’re trying to do.One of our core values is militant transparency, so I’ll be fully honest. At the moment, I want to whole heartedly give myself to our core priorities, involving getting our new Institutes up and running, growing our team, and raising capital. That means I’m choosing to decline a lot of conversations I’d otherwise like to have; so I won’t be able to prioritize hopping on the phone with you.

If there’s something quick I can help you with or if you have a specific question, do send me an email about it and I’ll be happy to get back to you!

My best,
Teju

Master these seven emailing skills and I submit that you will produce remarkable results for your work!  Tweet This Quote

In Conclusion: Conclusion: Knowing how to make asks via email, particularly in being considerate to the people you are reaching out to, will go a long way in helping you build the relationships you’re looking to build. And the good news is that you can start practicing right away with everyone you email! If you would like, feel free to send me a practice email anytime at teju@unreasonableinstitute.org.
Happy emailing!

Don’t give reasons for prices – it triggers a psychological reflex to regain control and bargain down the price

 

http://www.forbes.com/sites/stevemeyer/2015/01/09/the-1-reason-why-salespeople-leave-money-on-the-table/

The No. 1 Reason Why Salespeople Leave Money On The Table

Salespeople talk too much.

In an earlier article, I discussed a study suggesting salespeople would be more persuasive if they relied more on visuals than words. Here we’ll talk about what’s perhaps the most likely point in the selling process where salespeople say too much – and trigger the price bully that lurks in every buyer’s heart.

Courting is a little like sales, right? Imagine you’re a guy who’s been dating a woman for some time and you decide to propose. You want to close the deal. So you buy her a ring and take her to a nice restaurant. As you hand her the ring, you lay out, like bullet points, the five reasons you’re the guy for her.

What she wants is for you to let the ring, and the sincerity expressed in your misty eyes, do the talking. Laying out your value proposition at this point seems like desperation, or doubt. She’s thinking, “After all that courting, why does he think he needs to convince me? Or is he not convinced himself?”

How many times have you seen salespeople, just before a close, try to justify their price by revisiting the key benefits of their product or service? How many times have you succumbed to that urge yourself?

It’s a bad selling tactic. The research suggests you will trigger the same reaction in your prospect that our hapless Romeo triggered in his Juliet.

Justifying your price seems like common sense. If you’re going to ask someone to do something, how could it be a bad idea to remind them of the reasons? There’s actually a landmark study out there that seems to give credence to the idea. Unfortunately, most people completely misread its conclusions.

The study, called “The Mindlessness of Ostensibly Thoughtful Action,” was conducted in 1978. It observed how people waiting in line to use a copier responded when somebody at the back of the line tried to cut ahead. When the person simply asked to go first, 60% agreed. When the person said, “May I use the Xerox machine because I have to make a copy?” 93% said yes – even though the “reason” itself made no sense.

Based on this study, salespeople are often advised that there’s some mechanism in the human psyche that responds to reasons, and that enumerating them will improve close rates.

Problem is, there was a second part to that study. In Part 2 the researchers raised the stakes. They had the line-cutter say, for example, “I need to make 20 copies; can I go first?” Predictably, fewer people said yes, only 24%. When the line-cutter tried again, adding a bogus reason why he had to make 20 copies, the reason had no effect.

So that study showed that reasons work when the stakes are low but provide no benefit when they’re high, which they usually are in selling situations.

A more recent study showed that giving reasons not only doesn’t help, it actually hurts salespeople. Researchers analyzed two negotiations over the price of an apartment. With buyer Group 1, the sellers presented a price, then added justifications, pointing out that the building had an elevator and was in a desirable neighborhood. With buyer Group 2, they simply named the price and remained silent.

Buyer Group 2 didn’t bargain as hard and agreed to a higher price. Why? The researchers said the justifications made buyers in Group 1 feel they were being pushed into a corner, and that the seller was trying to do their thinking for them. And here’s what’s really interesting: The Group 1 buyers responded to justifications by coming up with reasons why the apartment wasn’t so great. “Yeah, that’s all true, but parking is a pain and there aren’t enough washing machines.”

The researchers described this pushback as a psychological reflex to regain control, which is the most powerful insight in this study. Justifications are perceived by the buyer as an attempt to take control. Just stating your price and remaining silent leaves the buyer in control. For whatever reason, buyers who feel they’re in control are less likely to undermine your value proposition and demand a lower price.

All that said, there is of course an appropriate time to lay out your value proposition – early in your discussions as you’re conducting discovery and mapping your product or service to customer needs. Just don’t do it late in the sales cycle when you’re negotiating price.

As hard as it may seem, you’ll get a higher price if you just say, “Here’s what it costs,” and then shut up.

You might want to go easy on the misty eyes though.

10 Predicaments Facing a New CEO

 

http://www.iedp.com/Blog/Ten-Predicaments-Facing-a-New-CEO

27 Aug 2014 Back

10 Predicaments Facing a New CEO

VIEWPOINT:  No career move is more profound than the step up to CEO. Tata Consultancy Services’ Himanushu Saxena and Tuck Executive Education at Dartmouth’s Prof Vijay Govindarajan reveal 10 key dilemmas that the new CEO needs to take account of, to hit the road running:

Finally the day arrived, when Peter was appointed as the CEO of the multinational technology giant. After months of speculation, apprehension and expectation; all came to a logical conclusion and everyone sighed with relief. Stakeholders were satisfied, the board were confident of having made the right choice, and the outgoing CEO felt that he was leaving the company in safe hands. When a week long ceremony and celebrations were over, Peter got some reflective moments to himself. That night, he could not sleep. He wondered, ‘what next’? Where does he go now, from here onward? Who to look up to, where to escalate and where does the buck stop now? Unfortunately, the buck now stops with him. Peter knew that from now onwards, everybody including customers, stakeholders, employees, the market and board will look to him for  direction; looking for those ‘Pearls of Wisdom’ that he had been craving to apply or holding on to reveal now that he had reached this stage.

This a usual scenario in most companies, where succession has happened or is likely to happen in the near future. CEOs are always in the ‘Hot Seat’, irrespective of whether their businesses are struggling due to competition, context or capability; or doing exceptionally but where the continual drive for aspirational growth continues. They have to deal with a number of predicaments that put a strain on their time, energy and decision making. Either way, here are 10 top dilemmas new CEOs will do well to know in advance and brace their organizations to deal with effectively:

  1. Finding the New Vector – Each leadership transition/succession is marked as a period of metamorphosis. New CEOs have to decide on their strategic direction: which markets to focus on, what technologies to adopt; as well as the tactical ones: where is the leadership shuffle required and what new regulation challenges to deal with; in addition to shareholder expectations. Identifying the primary source of competitive advantage also consume a significant amount of CEO’s time, stretching the decision-making to the hilt. Time and again, it has been proven that a deep sense of customer centricity combined with new capabilities give wings to the new growth vector.
  2.  Core versus White Space Capitalization – Sticking to the core or venturing away from it, in pursuit of new growth opportunities is a major dilemma CEOs often face. This requires ‘Strategic Intuition’, taking that judgment call, where all the perspectives naturally render themselves into a coherent decision. In today’s world, the core must constantly evolve by capitalizing the white spaces.
  3.  the Next Big Picture or Scaling the Existing One – One of the most obvious expectations of the board and stakeholders from the new CEO is clarity on whether the current ‘big picture’ will be manifested or a new one will be conjured. Where will the next big idea come from and whether the CEO will have the agility and resolve to bet on it?  CEOs need to structurally organize their companies where the systems and process take care of scaling the current picture and the key enterprise decision-makers spend a significant amount of time in finding the next big picture.
  4.  Dealing with a New Pecking Order – In one step, a new CEO alters the pecking order in the organization. He has probably superseded a few of his seniors and has gone ahead of his peers, leading to change in the power dynamics. How to get people to align with thebroader strategic agendas, which may or may not be at variance with others, is a major challenge CEOs have to deal with. What will come in handy here is not their knowledge or intellect but the art of building federations through influencing, iterating and interacting, in a meaningful manner. It is about giving respect at altogether different level, before seeking to earn the respect of various stakeholders.
  5.  Building Shared Agendas – In the run up to CEO’s position, especially internally, most leaders develop tremendous familiarity with their peers, direct reports and superiors. This may subconsciously lead them to take each other for granted. Although critical, this doesn’t impact the working relationship as severely, as it does post-succession where, the power dynamics has changed. As a result, thecollaboration takes the hit. Ensuring that there is adequate listening and understanding on both sides is a major challenge. Curbing personal agendas and promoting the shared agenda is what CEOs need to learn and practice.
  6.  Being the Face of Organization – Stakeholders want to know, hear and see the face with whom the buck stops now. Many CEOs, who probably have not had the exposure to face the global media, find themselves in an unfamiliar groove and often end up struggling with their messaging both internally as well as externally. From a situation, where his connects and conversations had topical implications, he has now moved into a role wherein he is always sending out a message, even when he is not. This is an unprecedented situation and often there is not enough grooming on this. Unfortunately divorcing or delegating this responsibility does not help. Effective grooming on this aspect must begin well before someone comes into the reckoning for being the next CEO.
  7.  Shifting the Growth Curve: Incremental Moves versus Bold Forays – The very growth curve of which the CEO was part of (in case of an organic succession), needs to shift now, few notches up. This is to mark the arrival of the new CEO. Shifting the growth orbit is the most natural aspiration from a new CEO. And this could put his imagination to the test, as to where to direct his ship in search of new growth horizons.
  8.  Reimagining the Interplay – Usually the resources of an organization does not change overnight. Resources of all kinds will remain constant initially. It will take some time for him to reinvent the management systems for creating new resources and capabilities. But the marshaling of resources can change from day one or soon after he has firmed in his new ‘Avataar’.  This is not easy. Seeking and searching a new interplay among already existing resources and capabilities requires reframing the outlook or altering the prism. This is about connecting and reconnecting the dots in an altogether different way.
  9.  Leading Disruption – Overtime, organizations mature in workflows – decision, process and interactions leading to stability. Long term stability leads to slack in the organization, which creates immunity for change. One of the toughest jobs of CEOs is to identify andgalvanize slack-discovery and drive disruption, before the competition or an unknown player disrupts. It is about dropping the long-standing perspectives and practices and acquiring new ones by virtue of altering the cause and effect linkages.
  10.  Create a New Legacy or Build on the Heritage – This is more pertinent for a CEO, who has come from outside to fix things in a turn-around scenario. If he disturbs the legacy too much, people are likely to blame him for showing disdain to the past and if he sticks with it, he will be questioned for being too conservative. What will serve him well is his ability strike a balance between timeless and timely.

Finding business coherence amidst the randomness of internal and external events is a perpetual dilemma for the CEOs.  A lot will depend upon, how he marshals his resources in new and innovative ways to discover that elusive growth orbit for which he has been appointed as the CEO. Discovering new ways of value creation and building conviction around them will help him deal with above predicaments, effectively. Each and every dilemma must be dealt with a filter of Staying Relevant – Proactive Disruption and Building case for Strategic Change. Finally, not everyone will understand the path undertaken by CEO but as long as these paths enable him and the company ‘Stay Relevant’ to its customers, they must be pursued with conviction.

Illustration: King Arthur. Fresco (detail) in the Corridor, Trinci Palace, Foligno, Italy

Further Information

Himanshu Saxena is a thinker, writer and speaker on concepts such as Big Picture, Reimagination, Strategy & Innovation and Leadership@Top Level. He is currently enabling TCS BPS in aligning strategy, coaching and developing leaders of tomorrow.

Vijay Govindarajan is the Coxe Distinguished Professor at the Tuck School at Dartmouth and the author of NYT and WSJ Best Seller, Reverse Innovation.

Tuck Executive Education at Dartmouth

How to Make Health Care Accountable When We Don’t Know What Works

 

https://hbr.org/2014/11/how-to-make-health-care-accountable-when-we-dont-know-what-works

How to Make Health Care Accountable When We Don’t Know What Works

NOVEMBER 25, 2014
How to Make Health Care Accountable When We Don’t Know What Works
NOV14_25_83286050

Accountable care organizations (ACOs) are widely regarded as part of the solution to a fragmented health care system — one plagued by duplicative services, avoidable errors, and other impediments to efficiency and quality. But 20 years of reform efforts have led to a wave of provider consolidation that has made little headway in efficiently coordinating care. Providers continue to follow a strategy that has shown minimal evidence of success.

We should admit that we don’t know what works and, instead, test a variety of potential solutions that could address fragmentation. Before I explore the concrete steps we can take to encourage that kind of innovation, let me provide some important historical context.

Payment Reform’s First Life

Early efforts to promote coordinated care emphasized payment reform. Toward that end, managed-care and health maintenance organizations used payment schedules and gatekeeper physicians to create provider networks. In addition, the Clinton administration introduced proposals to implement “pay for performance” and dedicated quality-improvement initiatives, suggesting that financial pressures might force the coordination and rationalization of care. But Congress rejected payment-focused reform, and market preferences eliminated managed-care pressures.

Commentators then suggested that payment reform could happen only in conjunction with provider-based reforms, and the Institute of Medicine later issued a series of reports calling for pairing payment solutions with structural reform. Then, when the Affordable Care Act instituted Medicare’s Shared Savings Program in 2010, it invited providers to create ACOs and to accept changes in reimbursement that allowed them recoup part of any savings they generated. Eventually, however, prospective ACOs were given the option ofcontinuing under Medicare’s traditional fee-for-service payments. In other words, providers were encouraged to pursue structural reform while being permitted to avoid any constraint from payment reform.

INSIGHT CENTER

  • Innovating for Value in Health Care
    SPONSORED BY MEDTRONIC

    A collaboration of the editors of Harvard Business Review and the New England Journal of Medicine, exploring best practices for improving patient outcomes while reducing costs.

The Disappointments of Provider Reform

The continued failure of payment-driven reform has sadly given provider-based reform a blank check. The U.S. health sector has been in a merger-and-acquisition frenzy for nearly 20 years, and much of the integration has been justified as an effort to construct ACOs. Buzz phrases such as “clinical integration” and “eliminating fragmentation” are routinely paraded before regulators who scrutinize proposed mergers.

The problem, of course, is that after waves of acquisitions, most hospital markets are now highly concentrated and lack meaningful competition. And, consistent with basic economic theory, hospital systems that acquired dominant market shares dramatically increased prices for health care services. Perhaps even worse is that these large entities have shown little capacity for achieving the efficiencies they promised through coordinated care. Newly integrated delivery systems retain their inefficiencies and bring higher prices without any evident reduction in costs or errors.

We don’t know exactly why efforts at integration have not yielded efficiencies, and it seems we simply didn’t think very hard about it. The health reform debate focused primarily on a handful of success stories we all can repeat in our sleep: Kaiser, Geisinger, Intermountain. The plan was to have other hospital systems mimic them. That is like instructing all high-tech companies to mimic Apple, as if what makes Apple successful is an easy-to-follow cookbook for large-scale structural change.

It is a curiosity about the U.S. health system that producers with better outcomes and lower costs than their competitors cannot dominate the market. Kaiser, for example, has tried but failed to enter more local markets. But it is foolhardy to think that the systems that have not achieved Kaiser’s success can replicate it simply with the help of government regulators. This duplication strategy at best seems mindless, and at worst smacks of a Khrushchev-era economic policy.

The truth is, despite a glut of business press and how-to manuals, we still understand very little about why certain organizations succeed and others do not. With all the complexities of delivering medical care, we should expect even more variation among health care providers than among manufacturers. We likewise should be very hesitant to claim we understand what works and prescribe nationwide structural reforms.

Concrete Steps for the Future of ACOs

Precisely because we don’t know what works at this juncture, we cannot continue encouraging the formation of vast integrated systems that are difficult to disentangle. Until we have more evidence that integration yields efficiencies, regulators should continue to halt mergers that harm competition.

But scrutinizing mergers will only prevent further damage. We also must improve our delivery system, and we cannot give up on the ACO as a potential source of innovative configurations. Specifically, we should:

  1. Redefine and broaden our concept of an ACO. Too much ACO formation has emphasized linking hospitals with other providers. Instead of this top-down approach, we should work from the bottom up by linking providers withconsumers and payors, so that the focus is on serving patients’ needs and managing budgets.
  2. Encourage nontraditional parties — such as social workers, professionals who help people navigate the health care system (often called “navigators”), and IT companies — to lead efforts at ACO formation. These parties would be well equipped to construct networks that provide accountability, given their expertise in connecting consumers to complex organizations and advocating on behalf of those consumers.
  3. Use contract-based and virtual provider collaborations instead of relying on mergers. Joining providers under common ownership might not be necessary. Electronic health records (EHRs) and other information technologies have the potential to create platforms that enable coordination without incurring the high costs of integration. EHR tools can also allow patients to control their own information and tailor collaborations to individual patients’ needs.
  4. Entertain disruptively innovative reconstructions of the health care delivery system — ones that make use of mobile health, medical tourism, and informatics. Many technology companies that traditionally have not participated in the health sector are now offering improvements to our delivery system. Because business scholarship tells us that outsiders frequently introduce the most valuable innovations to a market, we should ensure that regulatory barriers do not preclude participation from unconventional participants.
  5. Perhaps most important, we cannot pursue structural reform withoutpayment reform. We will distinguish valuable provider reforms from ineffective ones only if sustained revenue pressures force ACOs to be truly “accountable” to consumer demands and other economic realities.

Not every solution we try will work, but we’re likely to have more success letting providers figure out what works than telling them how to do it.


Barak Richman is the Edgar P. and Elizabeth C. Bartlett Professor of Law
 and a professor of business administration at Duke University.

 

Media redux

 

Media world ‘in chaos’ as journalism, publishing and agencies face grim future, according to US commentator

Media world ‘in chaos’ as journalism, publishing and agencies face grim future, according to US commentator

B-Garfield-AThe future of traditional journalism, particularly at a regional level, is “fucked”, as are legacy publishers and even agencies, with all becoming obsolete in the digital age, according to a media commentator.

Veteran US journalist Bob Garfield painted a picture of near-armageddon with out of work journalists, a defunct advertising model and agencies who are no longer relevant.

He also had strong words for creatives who “like to give trophies to one another for their creative genius and parade like Tony the Tiger down Madison Avenue every Fall during ad week,” warning “if they think people love their ads they are sorely, tragically mistaken”.

Speaking at the Association of Data Driven Marketing and Advertising (ADMA) conference in Sydney yesterday, Garfield, a columnist for Media Post, said the Internet has spawned “billions of journalists on the ground and camera phones in hand in search of a story”.

“I represent the last generation of journalists whose vocation was a handsome livelihood,” he told delegates.

Asked about the future for a 30-something journalist, he said: “You are fucked,” adding that a journalist friend with years of experience now waters plants in offices for a living.

“Many say we are in the golden age of content. Which is true unless you want to discuss journalism, particularly local journalism which has suffered greatly at the hands of digital chaos,” he said. “Except for search, gaming and porn, nobody is making mony of any consequence online.

“As audiences fragment the amount of revenue coming in for any particular piece of content goes down eventually to the point when the publisher or broadcaster can no longer afford to produce the thing.

“So if you were looking forward to a great career in media and marketing it might be a good idea to remove your belt and shoelaces.

“This isn’t about digital verses legacy it’s about the growing obsolescence of the advertising supported media model.”

While accepting that “more choice is wonderful”, Garfield warned that the impending demise of the large media companies and proliferation of amateur journalists will lead to a splintered industry and reduction in quality reporting.

“What will be lost is critical mass, the ability for anyone to have a strong enough voice to make a difference amid all the deafening noise of the crowd,” he said.

Traditional media organisation commanded the attention of, and held to account, governments, industry and other institutions, he continued.

“We can have a separate discussion about how responsible and intrepid the media were with this power, but that power was undeniable,” he said. “In general, those organisations attracted the best talent with the most professionalism and the greatest access. In a word, they had clout and professionalism mattered.

“We didn’t offer perfection but we came with a frame of reference.”

Overall, the newspaper industry is “tragically circling the drain”, with asset values decimated, profit margins eradicated and print subscriptions plummeting.

“The result has been vastly diminished journalism, and increasingly desperate measures by publishers such as so-called native advertising, which we can discuss later provided you want to talk about prostitution,” he said.

Garfield said the traditional advertising model has fallen apart in such a fragmented, digital market, while viewers fast forward through adverts like never before.

“Why do they they skip past the commercials? For the same reason he puts spam filters on his computer and refuses to click on any banner ad ever for any reason at any time,” he said.  “Advertising people like to give trophies to one another for their creative genius and parade like Tony the Tiger down Madison Avenue every Fall during ad week. But if they think people love their ads they are sorely, tragically mistaken.

“For more than three centuries consumers have put up with ads. Some ads are funny and clever and some even worm their way into our heads and popular culture. But they are and have always been a nuisance. To most people all advertising is spam. The proof being that the moment technology afforded us the ability to skip them, skip them we have.”

He said the “next bloodbath will be in TV”.

Agencies did not escape the gloomy outlook with Garfield predicting they will become obsolete in such a changing media landscape.

“The agency business is toast because no matter what anyone tells you, it derives its income from creating and placing large ad campaigns . The larger the more lucrative but mass is going away and the agency business does not adapt to micro.

“The entire media universe is in chaos.”

Steve Jones

John Perry Barlow: Which side of history do you want to be on?

“The main thing here is for people to recognize that what we’re doing is creating the foundations of the future in a very fundamental way.

I mean we’re building the future that we all might want or all might not want, depending on our current vested interests.

I think it takes a really crummy ancestor to want to maintain his current business model at the expense of his descendant’s ability to understand the world around them.

And if you really want to figure out which side you’re on, ask yourself what’s going to make you a better ancestor?

John Perry Barlow
Co-founder, Electronic Frontier Foundation

Interviewed in the feature documentary “Downloaded” aired on SBS.

Thanks CT.

This is bang on. Good to see some good people agreeing. I don’t feel nearly as mad.

http://www.afr.com/Page/Uuid/1fec72e4-07d2-11e4-a983-9084720e3436

ROSS GARNAUT AND PETER DAWKINS

Melbourne forum aims for politics-free economic thought

Melbourne forum aims for politics-free economic thought

The discussion of necessary reforms is dominated by special pleading by vested interests. Photo: Gabriele Charotte

ROSS GARNAUT AND PETER DAWKINS

Australia needs rigorous, independent economic policy debate and analysis to inform economic policy. The Melbourne Economic Forum seeks to contribute to meeting that need by bringing to account the considerable analytic capacity in economics based in the city.

A joint endeavour of the University of Melbourne and Victoria University, this new forum will bring together 40 leading economists, from or with institutional connections to Melbourne to discuss the great economic policy issues confronting Australia and the world.

The forum is independent of vested interests and partisan political connections. It will not support the position of any political party or campaign of any group. It will focus on analysis of policy in the public interest. Almost any policy proposal has implications for the distribution of incomes and wealth and income amongst Australians. Our objective will be to make these implications explicit and to point out their implications for wider conceptions of the public interest.

It would be surprising if high quality analysis of policy choice for Australia does not, from time to time, earn the criticism of participants from all corners of the political contest and from many groups with vested interests in particular uses of public resources and government power. The test of the forum’s value will be its success in illuminating the consequences of policy choice and not its immediate and direct influence on government decisions.

Through the final four decades of last century, dispassionate economic analysis and debate played a major role in illuminating government decisions on economic policy. Rational economic analysis became more important in underpinning serious discussion of policy choice. It emerged from interaction of economists in some of the universities with the predecessor to the Productivity Commission, the national media and later the public service and some parts of the political community. This interaction gradually built support for an open, competitive economy. The ideas preceded their influence, but eventually were of large importance in guiding the reform era under the Hawke, Keating and Howard governments. The resulting reform era laid the foundations for 23 years of economic growth without recession.

CHANGE IS A NECESSITY

 

Business organisations and the trade union movement joined the consensus and joined the discussion in constructive ways. The Business Council of Australia was formed to develop policy positions that were in the national economic interest, though not necessarily in the commercial interests of every one of its members.

Both rational economic analysis in the public interest and Australia’s high standard of living have been weakened by developments in the early twenty first century and are now under threat.

As mineral prices fall, productivity growth languishes and our population ages, Australia needs a new program of economic reform. Yet the discussion of necessary reforms is dominated by special pleading by vested interests.

Of course there is room for disagreement about the size of the challenge Australia faces if it is to maintain high levels of employment and prosperity. And different policy prescriptions will have different consequences for the distribution of the burden of adjustment to a more sombre economic outlook. A lazy policy response would shift the burden onto the shoulders of those Australians who lose their jobs or cannot find one.

Yet a budget that is viewed by the community as unfair is inimical to the task of building a consensus for reform.

The Melbourne Economic Forum will contribute to these debates, starting with a session on the economic outlook for Australia and the impacts of alternative policy responses. In September we will take on the international policy challenges most pertinent to the G20 meeting in Australia later in the year.

In November, we will venture into the hazardous territory of tax system reform and federal-state financial relations.

Bi-monthly forums in 2015 will tackle issues such as infrastructure, investment, foreign investment and trade policy.

Reviving the tradition of rigorous, independent policy thinking is not a hankering for the past but an essential precondition for a new wave of economic reform to secure employment growth and rising prosperity for all Australians in a far more challenging global economic environment.

Professor Ross Garnaut is professor of economics at the University of Melbourne. Professor Peter Dawkins is vice-chancellor at Victoria University. For more details on the Melbourne Economic Forum see melbourneeconomicforum.com.au.

The Australian Financial Review