Category Archives: data saving lives

McKinsey on Big Data in Health Care

 

Key drivers for big data:

  • Fiscal concerns
  • Moves to value-based reimbursement
  • Aggregated, live data sets provide best evidence for decision making

Key barriers to adoption:

  • patient privacy
  • reluctance to take a holistic, patient-centred approach to value

Pathway to a new value framework:

  • right living (prevention)
  • right care – correct Dx, Rx, Mx + coordination/sharing
  • right provider – workforce innovation
  • right value – outcomes-based reimbursement
  • right innovation – R&D to reduce costs, not increase it

Exemplars of Big Data in Health

  • Kaiser Permanente has fully implemented a new computer system, HealthConnect, to ensure data exchange across all medical facilities and promote the use of electronic health records. The integrated system has improved outcomes in cardiovascular disease and achieved an estimated $1 billion in savings from reduced office visits and lab tests.
  • Blue Shield of California, in partnership with NantHealth, is improving health-care delivery and patient outcomes by developing an integrated technology system that will allow doctors, hospitals, and health plans to deliver evidence-based care that is more coordinated and personalized. This will help improve performance in a number of areas, including prevention and care coordination.
  • AstraZeneca established a four-year partnership with WellPoint’s data and analytics subsidiary, HealthCore, to conduct real-world studies to determine the most effective and economical treatments for some chronic illnesses and common diseases. AstraZeneca will use HealthCore data, together with its own clinical-trial data, to guide R&D investment decisions. The company is also in talks with payors about providing coverage for drugs already on the market, again using HealthCore data as evidence.

McKinsey_BigData_Offerings

Ginger.io

Another company, Ginger.io, offers a mobile application in which patients with select conditions agree, in conjunction with their providers, to be tracked through their mobile phones and assisted with behavioral-health therapies. The app records data about calls, texts, geographic location, and even physical movements. Patients also respond to surveys delivered over their smartphones. The Ginger.io application integrates patient data with public research on behavioral health from the National Institutes of Health and other sources. The insights obtained can be revealing—for instance, a lack of movement or other activity could signal that a patient feels physically unwell, and irregular sleep patterns (revealed through late-night calls or texts) may signal that an anxiety attack is imminent.

Key Assumptions

  • Value-based payment reform must continue
  • There will be a willingness to progress, innovate and learn from other sectors
  • Privacy issues prevail

 

Notes from interview with Nicolaus Henke (video)

  • data availability
  • easier and cheaper to link data sets and then compute them
  • understanding population health better – predict who’s going to get sick, especially with regard to chronic disease – better clinical and economic outcomes

Current opportunities for providers:

  • understanding, predicting and preventing diseases in individuals and populations
  • linking up the health system around the patient
  • understanding value (holy grail) – where are funds being directed, how can they be moved around to optimise outcomes and made more efficient

Future opportunities – change the practice of medicine altogether:

  • Medicine is currently an art that involves the application of heuristic judgement by highly trained professionals distributed around the world
  • Imagine a future where half of all diseases are well characterised, and can be automatically detected sensors embedded in our environment

Building capabilities

  • We currently mainly capture clinical and payment transactional data
  • How do we capture and exploit new, less structured data – behavioural, genomic, environmental – allows prediction
  • Managing very large data sets – totally new skill set
  • Analytics
  • Understanding the consumer better (a la other industries)
  • Health economics and value analysis – where can we invest on the margins to save money
  • Clinical leadership is critical – they need to be inspired and engaged in order to create new models of care and improve their own outcomes and systems

 

PDF: The_big_data_revolution_in_healthcare
Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/health_systems_and_services/the_big-data_revolution_in_us_health_care

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

 

This extraordinary resource by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation was handsomely funded by the Gates Foundation and features interactive data visualisations across a range of country-based and global data sets. The data has been carefully curated and is very handy for looking at risk factors and causes.

IHME

http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/gbd/visualizations/gbd-arrow-diagram

AIRO tracks bloods, steps, sleep, stress automatically – I’m getting one

A likely game changer. AIRO uses a special embedded spectrometer to track not just your heart rate, but also your sleep patterns, workout intensity and calories consumed. It’s even able to break down the nutritional intake of your food.

Site: http://www.getairo.com/
Source: http://www.engadget.com/2013/10/28/airo-wristband/

Excruciating Clarity

PROBLEM

  • Contemporary health systems, and the health R&D systems that inform their behaviour, are failing to address the major threat of chronic disease because they are bound to legacy business models that depend on process over outcome.
  • These characteristics are leading to increasing health care costs in the absence of improving population health outcomes.
  • In frustration, Governments around the world are indicating that there is no more new money, with health systems being asked to operate within their current (and in some cases, diminishing) means.

SOLUTION

  • In response, the accepted business model for health care is slowly changing from a fee-for-service regime, to a value-based approach where providers are paid to improve health outcomes.
  • Similarly, the business model for medical research is changing, from a publish-or-perish, incremental-impirical regime, to a value-based approach where research is recognised ultimately for its clinical outcomes impact.
  • These changes will take time to occur is Australia, but are already well underway in the US, the UK and China.
  • To preserve their sustainability and viability, modern health systems will need to become sentient, focusing on prevention of harm from the contemporary modern food systems.
  • While health systems will always need to attend to illness as and when it presents, they will need to fund these activities out of savings made by avoiding preventable illness.
  • To achieve this, future health systems, and the R&D systems that inform them will be sentient, and feature the application of behavioural economics, real-time analytics, and predictive analytics to deliver low-unit-cost automated behavioural interventions.

OPPORTUNITY

  • The great Canadian ice hockey player Wayne Gretzky is often quoted as saying “A good hockey player plays where the puck is. A great hockey player plays where the puck is going to be.”
  • As a respected, successful and self-described entrepreneurial research institute, the George Institute is uniquely placed in Australia, but also internationally, to lead, and ultimately profit from these seismic disruptions in health system operations and performance.
  • There is an opportunity for the George Institute to establish a scalable, for-profit wellness generating clinic (working title: George Wellness) that, as a baseline, applies the latest understanding of wellness and prevention to a recruited population, but then uses continuous/frequent monitoring and real time analysis to develop a proprietary, preventive learning algorithm that delivers wellness to, while protecting this population from various harms in a powerful and demonstrable way.

Lunch date with Dickon

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com]
Sent: Thursday, 24 October 2013 8:09 PM
To: ‘Dickon Smart-Gill’
Subject: RE: Singpaore

Beautifully captured Dickon, and thank you for the eBook (it won’t go anywhere).

References for some of my contributions:

–          Online CBT pioneer: Prof. Helen Christensen/Black Dog Institute > blackdoginstitute.org.au // moodgym etc.

–          Research on protein and satiety in locusts, mice and men > Stephen Simpson

–          The Vitality Group (Sth Africa) – 15 min intro video on front page helpful, similarly 1hr webinar http://www.thevitalitygroup.com/

–          A short White Paper on Health Insurance billing analytics

 

Things we didn’t even get to, but expect to at some stage:

–          Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (author of Black Swan) >> totally rocked my world, suspect you might enjoy

–          Very strong case for plant based diet by Michael Greger MD

–          4 Hour Body by Timothy Ferris >> where I started my body hacking journey (slow carbs, protein, cruciferous, blow out, but also stuff on sex etc.)

–          Proteus Digital Health – end to end health monitoring, including blood composition via skin patches (warning: interesting but potential ufero)

–          Scanadu – personal medical tricorder

–          Ginger.io – behavioural health analytics platform

–          Omada Health – evidence-driven, online preventive health programs

–          Eatery by Massive Health – recently acquired by Jawbone, but previously doing some interesting things with diet, analytics and amazon’s mechanical turk  (warning: interesting but potential ufero)

–          Kaggle – data modelling competition platform (I’m mates with its founding chairman)

 

Rough vision for what I want to get going over the next 5 years (from diary post):

Over the next five years, I want to develop a health-generating, outcome-remunerated, scalable, for-profit enterprise dedicated to the effective (i.e. live outcome data and analytics, a la rapid learning health system), efficient (i.e. probably not involving doctors) optimization of population health through the application of mobile-mediated behavioural economics, epigenetics, ubiquitous sensors, real time, predictive analytics and the social determinants of health.

 

 

From: Dickon Smart-Gill [mailto:dickon@outlook.com]
Sent: Thursday, 24 October 2013 7:11 PM
To: ‘Paul Nicolarakis’
Subject: RE: Singpaore

 

Notes from our lunch

 

CBT apps are as effective as face to face with professionals. Mood Gym

 

Body by science – Doug McGuff – high intensity, simple exercises.

 

Eatstop eat attached.  A quick and easy read. I bought it, so please don’t forward it on to others just in case my name is encoded into the pdf somehow.

 

Leangains.com – 16-8 protocol. Obviously this guy is genetically gifted, but the fasting technique works for me too.  The key is ‘never any guilt’ if you mess up one day, simply forget it and try the next day.

 

80/20 rule for weight loss 80% being diet, the 20% being exercise.

 

Vitality – south Africa – interesting model to approach insurance companies.

 

Your potential opportunity with the data analysis for medical insurance claims/fraud. Possibility for the same sales approach that they used in the stock trading world.

 

Cauli dabbed with macadamia oil in an 210 degrees fan oven. Crunchy yet still moistish in the centre. Excellent snack food. I suggested adding turmeric (curcumin) for it’s anti inflammatory characteristics. Though not to modify the taste as that is already in order.

 

Standing desks (we both use them and see the benefits).

 

Feel free to add what I missed.

 

Dickon

 

 

 

 

 

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com]
Sent: Wednesday, 23 October, 2013 7:18 PM
To: ‘Dickon Smart-Gill’
Subject: RE: Singpaore

 

Great. How about 1230 for something meaty at:

 

Royal Mail

2 Finlayson Green

Ascott Raffles Place

 

http://www.ladyironchef.com/2012/12/the-royal-mail-prime-ribs-singapore/

 

 

 

 

From: Dickon Smart-Gill [mailto:dickon@outlook.com]
Sent: Wednesday, 23 October 2013 7:02 PM
To: Paul Nicolarakis
Subject: Re: Singpaore

 

Looking good for lunch. Name the time and place. I’m easy.

Sent from my iPhone
On 23 Oct, 2013, at 15:21, “Paul Nicolarakis” <paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com> wrote:

How are you looking for tomorrow? Any chance of lunch or afternoon instead of evening?

 

 

 

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com]
Sent: Friday, 18 October 2013 10:56 AM
To: ‘Dickon Smart-Gill’
Subject: RE: Singpaore

 

done

 

From: Dickon Smart-Gill [mailto:dickon@outlook.com]
Sent: Thursday, 17 October 2013 12:59 PM
To: Paul Nicolarakis
Subject: Re: Singpaore

 

Pencil in the evening of the 24 th.

Sent from my iPhone
On 17 Oct, 2013, at 8:15, “Paul Nicolarakis” <paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com> wrote:

I’m currently leaving on the 25th Dickon, but may stay longer… shall we try for something on the 24th?

 

Cheers, Paul

 

 

 

From: Dickon Smart-Gill [mailto:dickon@outlook.com]
Sent: Thursday, 17 October 2013 12:01 PM
To: ‘Paul Nicolarakis’
Subject: RE: Singpaore

 

Hi Paul,

 

I’m in Bangkok now.

 

However, on the 24th, 25th 26th, I’m in Singapore.

 

Does that overlap with your travel?

 

Dickon

 

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:paul.nicolarakis@outlook.com]
Sent: Thursday, 17 October, 2013 5:31 AM
To: ‘Dickon Smart-Gill’
Subject: Singpaore

 

Checking in again… will be in Singapore next week, let me know if you’re around for a bevvy. Cheers, Paul

 

 

 

From: Dickon Smart-Gill [mailto:dickon@outlook.com]
Sent: Saturday, 14 September 2013 12:47 PM
To: ‘Paul Nicolarakis’
Subject: RE: g’day

 

I’m in Bangkok right now and will still be in Bangkok on Wednesday.

 

Thanks for the invite, if I were in singapore I would definitely have met up with you.

 

Dickon

 

From: Paul Nicolarakis [mailto:blackfriar@gmail.com]
Sent: Saturday, 14 September, 2013 5:05 AM
To: Dickon Smart-Gill
Subject: g’day

 

Hey Dickon,
Am in town through to Wednesday – would be good to catch up if you’re around?
Cheers, Paul

Today’s the day I realised it’s time for me to step up

Had a really interesting day today.

Have settled nicely into the VLCD regime and feel I could persist with it as required. Caffeine delivered by green tea has added a pleasant boost.

I had a terrific meeting with Fiona Turnball and David Pieris at the George Institute.

I also met with the producer of an eHealth event in Melbourne who has asked me to speak (interestingly, George Margelis, the MC of the session, didn’t think to contact me, so am grateful that Steve Leeder did).

Bought Floppy’s 30th birthday opal from the least likely of vendors and prepped for the Hong Kong trip.

Among all that, I had a typically entertaining chat with Mark Hayman. Among the many pearls, one stuck out:

“I’ve reached a time in my life where I no longer want to be pissed off by what others say and do, and instead be happy to piss others off with what I say and do”

I also managed to crystallize what I want to dedicate the remainder of my professional life to. In essence, I want to develop a health creating, outcome remunerated, scalable, for-profit business dedicated to the effective, efficient population health optimization utilizing all the insights of behavioural economics, epigenetics, ubiquitous sensors, real time, predictive analytics and the social determinants of health.

futuresupermarkets…

I received this email on Thursday from my local supermarket. Not my local supermarket chain. My local supermarket. It featured personalised in-store specials for what I like to buy.

And so it begins.

Prompted by this development, I just searched for Coles and Health Insurance and came up with this media release from June 2013 announcing a partnership between Medibank Private and Coles whereby you get double flybuy points for buying fruit and vegetables.

And so it has already begun. Sure it is Vitality-lite, but you have to start somewhere. Awesome.

FlybuysCapture

 

content of personalised flybuys email (PDF)

Coles and Medibank Reward Customers for Better Health (PDF)

TripleFlybuys_MedibankGenerationBetter

 

Generation Better Triple Flybuys TVC: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ftq2i9f6PBo